Let's Talk About It. It's What Dave Wants Us To Do.

I guess you start a post like this with "I remember it like it was yesterday."  And I do.  We all do.  Only the very young among us, the ones that don't know that we ever beat Ohio State and Michigan State with regularity, are spared from being able to relive it and know its impact.  

We were coming off of a 2006 that was really weird.  An 11-0 start without a single worthwhile home game (Sparty was Sparty back then) left us disconnected as fans from the team.  We manhandled a highly ranked ND team in South Bend, and had a seemingly amazing defense that was dominant until November, at which point they yielded 26 points to a Ball State team coached by Brady Hoke.  Then Bo died on OSU eve.  Michigan gave up 42-points and lost by three in the horseshoe.  We lobbied for a Michigan - OSU rematch in the BCS championship game to no avail.  We settled for, and got our asses kicked in, the Rose Bowl...and I threw up all over it.

There was reason for optimism in the off-season, and the media and coaches agreed.  Michigan was #5 in the country.  As fall camp came to a close leading up to the game, Michigan had its first instance of disciplining a player for an internet related matter when Marques Slocum waxed poetic on Facebook about his Fuck Lion.  

I remember that Johnny Cleveland wrote our App State preview (pardon the old poorly formatted link) that week and it was picked up and linked by MGoBlog, which was really starting to blow up, sending more traffic our way than the servers could handle.

The idea of scheduling a FCS opponent didn't sit well with the masses.  It was beneath us.  When I was younger and more emotionally involved with Michigan Football (side note:  The waning of my emotional involvement may be more based on the state of the program than my age) I had a recurring nightmare about losing to a no-name opponent.  I cultivated that nightmare, and perhaps even rationalized it.  Pretty much everybody but Ohio State had already had their bad MAC moment.  It was bound to happen someday.  Preparing yourself for disappointment…that was Michigan Football, which is better than today's endless indifference I guess.  I wondered what it would be like when I couldn't make fun of Sparty for their bed-shitting moments in back to back games against CMU anymore (did you know they lost again in '09?).  Back then, those worries would always pass.  It's never going to happen to us, right?  How could it?  There will never be a time where we are so mismanaged as to have a team that isn't able to dominate any team whose payday for coming to Michigan Stadium was more than they had ever earned in a season of their own home games.  Despite coming out of the gate sluggish, despite not playing their best, despite having a single digit lead at the half...and all of these things happened at one time or another...Michigan would always find their stride and put the inferior opponent away, often handily.

The game itself is foggy.  But I remember the thoughts that were going through my head: 

This sucks.  

We suck.  

We still can't stop a mobile quarterback.

I wish our band did fun stuff like their band did at halftime.

We underestimated these guys big time.

We're going to pull this out and avoid this huge embarrassment.

I was relieved, even confident, when we lined up for that game winner.  And after it was blocked, irrational thoughts flowed in to my head.  I thought for sure we’d just take the ball back from the guy returning the block and run it the other way for a touchdown.  When it didn’t happen, I was just looking around wondering when they were going to add more time to the clock so we could win this thing.  We just need some more time.  We can pull this out if we just get one more minute.  Surely the NCAA is not going to let this happen.  Maybe the BTN will intervene in this their first game, with some soccer-style arbitrary bonus minutes.

But there was no more time.

And despite the run that blossomed in that 2007 culminating with a bowl win over Tim Tebow, Michigan Football died that day.  In the years that followed, Michigan Football was Bernie.  A toupee held in place by a staple gun, dark sunglasses and a rigamortis forced stupid grin...and quite frankly starting to smell of rotting flesh.  The loss, combined with Lloyd doing a poor Bo imitation and fostering the old guard vs. new guard feud assured us of a poor transition to speedball from manball, so we went back again, and in the process we lost nearly everything.  Yep, it's been dead this whole time.  There have been a few moments, but it’s been very few.  Some can be explained (Denard was awesome) but most were the product of a piss poor Big Ten and blind luck (Denard threw passes off his back foot while shouting “500” that were caught for touchdowns after slipping through three defenders hands in a Sugar Bowl we had no business being in against an opponent that didn't deserve to be there either). 

I’m not trying to say that the Wolverines were world beaters from team 1 through team 127, but Michigan has not been Michigan since September 1, 2007.  Seven years ago.  Michigan Football had a reputation of being great and talented and intimidating...and finding stupid games to lose in stupid ways.  However, they often performed at a high level when a high level opponent challenged them, and they were consistently somewhere between above average and spectacular, and once or twice even perfect.  It's not like that anymore.  We are not in the conversation.  We are a bad product...sold at a premium price.

So why are we still here supporting this?  

Well first, I love it.  And that's personal, and that's enough.  Nostalgia is a strong force in the universe, and we are not alone.  This isn’t the only instance of a perennial power being brought back down to Earth.  Nebraska, Notre Dame, Texas, USC, Penn State, really everybody…they’ve all gone through what we are going through, perhaps even worse, and certainly more often. 

We can rebuild it, we have the technology.  I believe in the talent that has been recruited.  I believe in the staff’s ability to get that talent to believe in the mysticism of Michigan Football and to convince them they are destined for greatness just because they didn’t quit.  I mean, that is the essence of “Those Who Stay Will Be Champions.”  Stick around long enough, and we’ll get you a ring for something.  And if by chance you don’t, we’ll change the definition of Champion to mean “productive member of society.”  And while I’m not certain that this is the staff that can take us back to where we once were, for me this is certainly the staff that I want to take us there.  No more coaching changes.  No more attrition laden classes.  No more hot seat talk.  It's time to win.

And perhaps the scheduling of this game that I despise so very much is what it will take to start over...again.  This cruel reenactment, orchestrated by a man who is building things around us as if we have never lost a step, is truly the bottom.  If we had 6 losses over the last three years instead of 13, Dave could have put a stingray filled pool in the north end zone and you wouldn't give a shit.  So make it good.  Make it right.  Make it work.  

Seriously, I want this to work.  Show me something. 

I am fully aware of the shortcomings we have on the offensive line as described by everyone with eyes that has seen Michigan practice, and I look forward to WATCHING THEM COME TOGETHER AND IMPROVE AS THE SEASON GOES ON.  That’s how everybody else does it.  They get better.  I don’t expect us to dominate the league, but I expect us to compete, and to win significantly more often than we lose.  I expect us to be in the conversation, and I expect us to look better at the end of the season than we did in the beginning of the season.

So let's get out there and grill some meat, drink some beer, tell some stories, and celebrate some victories.

I hope it's a fun ride.

 

The Ever Increasing Expectation is for the Position - Season(s) Preview

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It's the third year of the Brady Hoke era, and it's definitely an "era."  When we spoke of RichRod, it was often referred to as the "experiment," as in " we are in the third year of The RichRod experiment." That's the difference between respect and disrespect.  That's the difference between "get us back to where we were" and "take us somewhere new."

Coach Hoke speaks of 2012 as a failure, and minus the Sparty game, which was basically snatching victory from the jaws of defeat, I couldn't agree more.  It took 400+ all-purpose from Denard to stave off Air Force in the Big House.  And figure in a different result for the Northwestern game, where it took a miracle to force overtime, and you've got yourself a colossal failure of a season, like under-.500-did-we-make-a-huge-mistake-hiring-hoke style colossal.  But Brady and the boys hit the magic number, eight wins.  Eight wins was good enough for Lloyd to maintain status quo, and it will be enough for Coach Hoke.  I think we're reaching that point where we're going to settle in on 8-5, 9-4, 10-3, and the occasional 11-2, perhaps leaning towards the latter two in this weak conference, at least in the near future, and of course adding on a win here or a loss there depending on Big Ten championship game participation.  This is where we live.  A couple losses we shouldn't get, another that wasn't so unexpected, and maybe a win or two to be proud of.  Copy-paste 2014, copy-paste 2015, copy-paste 1994.  

The whole idea of this (albeit successful by comparison to the rest of the football world) middle ground has me yawning this morning.  There's got to be something more.  I guess our buddies down at Notre Dame proved that something can come of this.  Once in a while, something magical happens.  You see, being good can only get you so far when you're like us.  Alabama can march into the final game of the season undefeated because they have Ivan Drago like superiority, both in coaching and in on-field talent.  Sure they have to cheat and sign 40 recruits to "scholarships" each year to make it happen.  But hey, playing by the rules only gets you so far.  It takes luck to make a team that historically posts three or four losses every year into a National Championship participant.  Injuries, playing teams at the right time, flukes, weird calls, and hot hands all play a part in getting a team to the summit.  

Our 8-5 squad, the one that could have easily gone 6-7, was every bit as good as Notre Dame.  It took a seemingly endless amount of Denard interceptions...and one Vinnie Smith one (yep, still pissed Al)....to literally force the Irish to beat Michigan in South Bend. That means we were good enough to do what ND did, which is, um, somewhat participate in that last game of the year (which consequently we had already participated in for the first game of the year).

I dream that someday we can make the jump, from this middle area to the elite area.  And I'm not talking about for a season, though one season is a start.  The recruiting classes seem to indicate that we're heading in that direction I guess, but I'm more interested in what we do with that elite talent, how we develop it.  We seem to be historically good at taking low level athletes (or at least unsung ones) and turning them into great players.  Braylon Edwards, Jordan Kovacs...guys like that.  I always felt that those great classes that Lloyd brought in under performed once they were here.  I also felt like the ratings of players got bumped once they were on our radar, resulting in inflated star ratings for recruiting classes.  I think that still goes on, for both us and ND.  But anyway, it is rare that we get some 5-star dude and have him become a, well, 6-star dude.  And there's 6-star dudes everywhere now.  Freshman lead teams.  Johnny Football won a Heisman (and signed a shit-ton of autographs for money).

"I believe the children are our future."  - Randy Watson

I'm feeling this is getting verbose.  Let's talk about this season real quick, eh? 

What I like: 

  • Playing Notre Dame (because it's at home, and it's for revenge, and because they suck,and it's under the lights part deux)
  • Devin Gardner is a better quarterback in the traditional sense of quarterbacking-ness, and had to play a bunch because Denard got so Denarded he hurt himself ...and Russell Bellomy went all  fetal-position in Lincoln.
  • UCONN:  They are done being good and pre-Big Ten East Coast games > West Coast games.
  • The offensive line is better than last year.  How do I know?  Because the offensive line is always better than last year when you are in a Hoke/Carr/Moeller/Schembechler system. 
  • I don't care if he can't block for shit, I love Devin Funchess, and the '97 waggle is going to be in full effect. 
  • Ohio at home means there's a chance

What I am concerned about: 

  • Devin Gardner is not Denard, and Denard was so Denard.
  • Fitz is at the top of the running back depth chart, and he is coming off a broken leg...and wasn't doing so well before that anyway. 
  • At Northwestern
  • Lots of Late Kick Offs + Alcohol + Old tailgaters = Ambulances
  • We are in year three of returning to being a "Michigan" defense, so I'm expecting us to have all kinds of trouble containing mobile quarterbacks....like Braxton Miller. 
  • At Sparty
  • Being At Iowa and accidentally looking ahead OSU while they are rallying to save Kirk's job

Wins:  CMU, ND, Akron, @UCONN, Minny, @PSU, IU

Bubble: @MSU, Neb, @NW, @Iowa, OSU

Thinking analytically...we don't lose at home under Hoke, so that moves Nebraska and OSU to the win column.  That leaves @ MSU, @NW, and @Iowa on the bubble, splitting those to the bad side gives us two losses on the season and secures a legends championship.  We will head to the B10 Championship Game and beat Wisconsin and their new coach, making us 11-2.  That will be good enough for a Rose Bowl bid, and will leave us wondering what could have been had we not lost to (fill in the blank).  As an aside, me from 10 years ago called and says we're going 14-0 and winning the National Championship.  Because we typically win National Championships in the year before the system to determine the National Champion is changed.

That is all.

GO BLUE!